
I am a PhD candidate at the Kenneth C. Griffin Department of Economics at the University of Chicago.
I am an applied microeconomist studying how market structure and public policy shape access to essential goods and services. My research combines tools from industrial organization and public economics to examine issues in pharmacy markets, housing, and municipal finance.
My CV is available here.
Note: I served in the Republic of Korea Army from 2020 to 2022 and returned to the University of Chicago thereafter to resume my research.
Job Market Paper
Causes of Retail Pharmacy Closures
Draft available upon request.
Recent retail pharmacy closures have raised concerns about "pharmacy deserts" and unequal access to prescription drugs, prompting state and federal proposals to raise the margins pharmacies earn on dispensing. This paper shows that the closures stem less from declining drug profitability than from the collapse of the front-store retail business that historically cross-subsidized dispensing. Using a novel database linking pharmacy sales, prices, and margins to consumer shopping behavior, I document that the U.S. pharmacy market comprises two business models: multi-product chain pharmacies ("chains") that rely on consumer packaged goods (CPG) sales to offset low prescription (Rx) margins, and small independent pharmacies ("independents") that focus almost exclusively on dispensing. Four empirical facts emerge: (i) exits are concentrated among chains; (ii) exits reduce displaced patients' drug adherence only temporarily; (iii) exits concentrate where pharmacies are dense, leaving distance and driving time to the nearest pharmacy essentially unchanged; and (iv) exit rates track declining CPG sales, not falling Rx margins. To evaluate proposed reimbursement reforms, I estimate a multi-category demand model and embed it in a dynamic model of pharmacy entry and exit. Under current conditions, the model projects the network to shrink by nearly half in the long run, yet because closures concentrate in dense markets, distance to the nearest pharmacy barely changes, and the consumer cost, borne mainly through the prices of surviving stores, not lost access, is modest. Restoring margins to their real-terms peak would cost $30 billion per year, and yet it would recover a tenth of the decline and return about one cent of consumer surplus per public dollar.
Working Papers
Addiction Runs: Rank Competition and Strategic Complementarities in Prescription Stimulant Usage
(with Giyoung Kwon and Younggeun Yoo)
Draft available upon request.
Abstract
We study the rise of prescription stimulant use for academic performance using a model with relative-performance externalities. Students compete for rank, where taking a stimulant improves effective performance but entails costs. Because payoffs from academic competition depend on others' performance, students' stimulant usage exhibits strategic complementarities: as more individuals use stimulants, others face stronger incentives to follow in order to avoid falling behind. We identify the model using prescription trends in the U.S. and our own survey evidence on students' incentives, beliefs, and perceived costs. The estimated strategic complementarities are large enough to generate multiple equilibria, including one with low use and another with very high use, in which around 90 percent of students take stimulants. We use the estimated model to evaluate policies that (i) reduce the salience of relative evaluation, (ii) limit the competitive advantage conferred by stimulants, particularly through academic accommodations, (iii) separate academic competition between stimulant users and non-users (i.e., separate curves), and (iv) tighten prescribing standards to reduce non-medical use. Our estimates show that separate curves yield rankings that most closely reflect underlying ability and are the policy that least discourages true ADHD patients from taking prescribed stimulants.
Scale Up of an Influential Early Childhood Education Program
(with Andrés Hojman and Juan Pantano)
Revise and Resubmit, Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics
Draft available upon request.
Abstract
We compare two similar yet distinct early childhood education (ECE) programs while addressing the concerns associated with comparing them. We revisit data from a series of randomized early childhood education interventions to investigate the effects of ECE participation at ages 0 to 3 on a child's cognitive outcome. We document treatment effect heterogeneity in ECE programs by drawing on insights from the causal forest algorithm following Athey and Wager (2018). In particular, children accrue different effects from participation in ECE programs, and the populations differ across programs. Hence, a natural question is what the effect would be if one were randomized into another population. Using a forest built on federal program data and applying state program data to obtain treatment effect estimates for populations resembling each other, we consider treatment heterogeneity and differences between the two program characteristics. The results suggest that when designed and targeted well, ECE programs may be a very effective tool to improve the lives of the disadvantaged population.
Living Standard and Psychological-Wealth-Based Optimal Policies
(with Seyoung Park and Yonghyun Shin)
Draft available upon request.
Abstract
We develop a new dynamic continuous-time model of optimal consumption and savings with endogenous liquidity constraints. In addition to exogenously imposed liquidity constraints, we endogenize a liquidity constraint over which individuals can maintain a living standard. We show that the endogenously determined liquidity constraint becomes tighter with a higher living standard. The optimal strategies with endogenous liquidity constraints are derived in closed form. We find a significant discontinuity and dramatic change in the effect of endogenous liquidity constraints on the optimal strategies, which in turn is determined by levels of current borrowing against future income. We show that consumption changes with respect to changes in wealth are greater with higher living standards when the amount of borrowing is large. However, this result can be reversed when the amount of borrowing is small. These findings are particularly important in addressing the interdependence of consumption and liquidity constraints to maintain a living standard in today's inflation crisis.
Work in Progress
Balancing Household Debt and Municipal Revenues: Personalized Water Utility Pricing
(with Jean-Pierre Dubé)
RCT complete (RCT ID: AEARCTR-0014214, UChicago IRB: IRB24-1449). Drafting in progress.
Package Size Options and Unequal Burden of Inflation
(with Youngeun Lee and Younggeun Yoo)
Surveying complete (BC IRB: 27.0053). Drafting in progress.
Speculative Demand Displacement: Evidence from the Korean Housing Market
Drafting in progress.
Housing Tenure as an Investment Decision: Evidence from Survey and Field Experiments
(with Younggeun Yoo)
Preliminary results.